Central Pine Barrens Fire Weather Page - Updated 11/25/2015     

                                                                                                                                                                                                              

1.  Daily National Weather Service Fire Weather Forecast from the Brookhaven (Upton, NY) Forecast Office

 

2.  Daily Fire Danger Ratings for 2015 (See this link for an explanation of the ratings system as used locally):                                                                                                                                            

 

Week

Sun

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

11/22-11/28

Moderate
Low Low


11/15-11/21

Low Low Low Low Low Low
11/8-11/14

Low Low Low Low Moderate Moderate
11/1-11/7

Low Low Low Low Low Low
10/25-10/31

Moderate Moderate Low
Low
Low Low
10/18-10/24

Moderate High
Low
Moderate High
Low
10/11-10/17


Low
Low Low Moderate
High
10/4-10/10

Low
Low
Low Low Low Low
9/7-10/3

Low Low Low Low Low Low
9/20-9/26

High
Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate
9/13-9/19

Moderate
Low
Low Low Low Low
9/6-9/12

High High High Low
Low
Low
8/30-9/5

Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate High
8/23-8/29

Low Low Moderate
Moderate Moderate
Moderate
8/16-8/22

Low Low Low Low Low Low
8/9-8/15

Moderate Low
Low Low Low Low
8/2-8/8

Moderate
Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate
7/26-8/1

Low
Low
Low
Low
Moderate
High
7/19-7/25

Low Low Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
7/12-718

Low Low Low Low Low Low
7/5-7/11

Low Low Low Low Low Low
6/28-7/4

Low Low Low Low Low Low
6/21-6/27

Low Low Low Low Low Low
6/14-6/20

Low Low Low Low Low Low
6/7-6/13

Low
Low
Low
Low
Low
Low
5/31-6/6

Low
Low
Low
Low
Low
Low
5/24-5/30


Moderate
Low
Low
Low
Low
5/17-5/23

Low
Low
Moderate
Low
High
High
5/10-5/16

Low
High
High
High
Moderate
Low
5/3-5/9

High
Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Low
4/26-5/2


High
Moderate
Low
Low
Moderate
4/19-4/25

Low
Low
Moderate
High
High
Moderate
4/12-4/18

Low
Low
High
Moderate
Low
High
4/5-4/11

Moderate
Low
Low
Low
Low
Moderate
3/29-4/4



Low
Moderate
Low

Past years

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

 2010

2011 


2012
 2013
2014




(*) indicates National Weather Service Red Flag Warning day.

 
                                                 

  3.  About the Central Pine Barrens Fire Weather Program

The Fire Weather Committee implements the Central Pine Barrens Fire Management Plan's sections on fire weather monitoring and public notification of fire danger conditions.  This is done in concert with the Public Education Committee.  See Section 3.4 of the Fire Management Plan, "Annual Fire Weather", and Section 4.2, "Public Notification of Fire Danger". Goals of the program are:

1.  Establish, operate, and maintain a fire weather station within the Central Pine Barrens to complement the existing US Fish and Wildlife Service station.  Additional stations may be considered as experience dictates.  The two stations currently in operation are both from Forest Technology Systems, Ltd. (Victoria, BC).  They are:

 


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Eastport Weather Station 

2.  Follow and implement the National Fire Danger Ratings System (NFDRS) for the Central Pine Barrens and surrounding area.                                      

 

3.  Provide daily fire weather information to, and establish and maintain a close working relationship with, the Suffolk County Department of Fire, Rescue and Emergency Services (SC FRES; Yaphank, NY).

 

Specifically, this permits SC FRES to broadcast daily fire danger levels within Suffolk County.  This is generally done shortly after 1300 hours (during Eastern Standard Time) or 1400 hours (during Daylight Savings Time). The five qualitative danger levels - also known as "adjective levels" or "staffing levels" under the federal NFDRS system, represent the expected behavior of a fire once it occurs on a particular day. These ratings do not indicate the likelihood of an ignition occurring.  Specifically, these Fire Danger Levels, which are customized to local conditions, indicate different value ranges for fire spread rates, flame heights, and other characteristics of a potential fire.  The five levels and their color coding are defined under NFDRS as:

 

 


Low

Moderate

High

Very High

Extreme


See this two page pdf fact sheet for an explanation of the ratings' fire behavior meanings and their application to public lands management in Suffolk County !

 

The rating is also posted on this web site (main page and this page), and is faxed and / or e-mailed to government offices requesting it.

 

4.  Establish and maintain a close working relationship with the National Weather Service's (NWS) Brookhaven (Upton, NY) Forecast Office.  See the Brookhaven Forecast Office's Fire Weather Page for detailed meteorological data, forecasts and numerous fire weather products for both the Long Island area and the Forecast Office's larger interstate responsibility area. Also see the  Daily National Weather Service Fire Weather Forecast from the Brookhaven (Upton, NY) Forecast Office.

 

5. Assist the broader Suffolk County Fire Community - departments, districts, marshals, investigators, and others - to further their missions through providing a uniform fire weather rating, and clearly explaining its benefits and limitations. See this two page pdf fact sheet for an explanation of the ratings' fire behavior meanings and their application to public lands management in Suffolk County.

 

6.  Assist the Wildfire Task Force organizations with the development, refinement and implementation of a Standard Operating Procedure (SOP) for the implementation and relaxation of activity and access restrictions for public forest lands during fire critical times.  An interagency SOP was established during the 1999 fire season, and will be refined as experience with it is gained.

 

7.  Maintain, and provide access to, historical fire weather data to interested researchers, students and other individuals.

 

4.  Fire Safety and Fire Related Links: